1st std observation about the Orange Book. Mentioning the Orange Book shows two things; that you're not a Lib Dem and you don't understand them. 2nd std observation about the Orange Book. It isn't a … (View Post)

Rishi losing his seat would only bring a leadership election forward by a number of days, surely. More important is who will replace him. Mostly because it will set the direction of the remainder of … (View Post)

On the quiet, the Lib Dems are having quite a good election, but I still think 60 seats is their ceiling. For the Tories to come third, they need to lose a good number of seats to drop below 60. That… (View Post)

The Lib Dems' fortunes entirely mirror the Tories. Every 1% of support the Tories lose between now and polling day will lose them close to 20 seats. While the Lib Dems are trying their hardest in abo… (View Post)

The Tories expect their polls to improve, because they have in 7 out of the last 11 elections. But Tory polls worsened in 2 out of those 11 elections, and those were the elections when they were at t… (View Post)