Smart51

The Lib Dems' fortunes entirely mirror the Tories. Every 1% of support the Tories lose between now and polling day will lose them close to 20 seats. While the Lib Dems are trying their hardest in abo… (View Post)

The Tories expect their polls to improve, because they have in 7 out of the last 11 elections. But Tory polls worsened in 2 out of those 11 elections, and those were the elections when they were at t… (View Post)

Or 3rd. I'm still holding out for the Lib Dems beating the Tories 52 - 48 MPs. (View Post)

Sunak is wrong on this one. He may start the flights. It won't stop the boats. (View Post)

The Economist's model makes pretty poor work of the Lib Dems and the SNP. If I'd made a model like this, I'd think twice about publishing. UNS is like FPTP - it works well if there are only 2 parties… (View Post)