The Tories expect their polls to improve, because they have in 7 out of the last 11 elections. But Tory polls worsened in 2 out of those 11 elections, and those were the elections when they were at t… (View Post)
The Economist's model makes pretty poor work of the Lib Dems and the SNP. If I'd made a model like this, I'd think twice about publishing. UNS is like FPTP - it works well if there are only 2 parties… (View Post)