On the quiet, the Lib Dems are having quite a good election, but I still think 60 seats is their ceiling. For the Tories to come third, they need to lose a good number of seats to drop below 60. That… (View Post)

The Lib Dems' fortunes entirely mirror the Tories. Every 1% of support the Tories lose between now and polling day will lose them close to 20 seats. While the Lib Dems are trying their hardest i… (View Post)

The Tories expect their polls to improve, because they have in 7 out of the last 11 elections. But Tory polls worsened in 2 out of those 11 elections, and those were the elections when they were at t… (View Post)

Or 3rd. I'm still holding out for the Lib Dems beating the Tories 52 - 48 MPs. (View Post)

Sunak is wrong on this one. He may start the flights. It won't stop the boats. (View Post)