Unexpected has to be in there I think. There are also the implications. Sunak is on his way out and probably won't even be an MP in five years, even if he wins his seat this time. Portillo was o… (View Post)

To add to Kinabalu's hall of infamy, I've got old bets on Con most seats and against Lab majority :open_mouth: But traded those out, helped by a depths of Truss -> limited peaks of Sunak… (View Post)

I prefer Mostly Relies on Polling :wink: (As with traditional polls, if the sample is wrong then the MRP is screwed too). The constituency level tweaks are the main secret sauce, other than sampling,… (View Post)

I'm feeling quite happy with my bets on Con 100-149 and 150-199. Although when I placed them, it was on the basis that the odds looked long (3.something and 8.something) and that if they got <… (View Post)

If you think in binary... have you just outed yourself as an AI? :tongue: Mind you, maths in binary is the easy bits :wink: (View Post)