Not any more? :open_mouth: (View Post)

The mathematics is bollocks (or, not bollocks, but not relevant). Who cares if it's mathematically unlikely to be someone else than her (under various assumptions that probably don't hold).… (View Post)

On topic: I worry for the US electorate if they think Trump is the person to have in charge during a war (although I do get the argument). I'm also red on Trump. (View Post)

Posterior probability is about 1, I think? (View Post)

Too many assumptions. Chance of being on a boat that sinks in a year is easy. But for that specific boat, you need to look at design issues compared to similar vessels, location, storm, any aggravati… (View Post)