There is a single piece of data (turnout) which no one really knows how to interpret. It is a great basis for rumour but nothing more. (View Post)

I have no idea what will happen this afternoon but looking back at the last 24 hours commentary I can't help but feel this is rather like the narrative built up in those pseudo-archaeology ancie… (View Post)

Without in any way wanting to appear to be suggesting that Reform would do any better at a GE, I think you give them too much credit or organisation in assuming they picked the seats they fought toda… (View Post)

Final turnout table for London Mayoral with increases or decreases. (View Post)

I don't believe this. I think there are too many factors at present that are warping the local results that will fade into the background at the GE. I don't necessarily think Starmer will g… (View Post)