It's completely daft of them to use any of these terms. I appreciate that they are desperate to dumb down (hence the God-awful cartoons, acres of wasted screen space and completely brain-dead ra… (View Post)

Yet the headline seems to be causing immense confusion. We've just had a ping-pong match here on what the terms mean and what they should mean. Who cares? Just look at the numbers. If someone do… (View Post)

Yes, it's completely irresponsible of the media, and indeed opposition politicians. (View Post)

Updated summary with latest YouGov model (updated 11th Oct): 538 Economist YouGov --------------------------------------------------- Probability of Biden win 86% 91% 91% Probability of Trump win 14%… (View Post)

Personally, I'm all in favour of people not understanding probability. How else are we supposed to make money out of betting on politics? (View Post)