It's not really true that the under 40s avoid hospitalisations: https://twitter.com/COVID19actuary/status/1416069607698272256 (View Post)

Yes, in fact a bit more than that, because the hospitalisations arise from cases of a few days ago. This is the absolutely key point which those saying we should just let rip don't seem to under… (View Post)

Trust the Lancet to get something so absolutely basic wrong! (View Post)

No, that's not what they mean. They mean that your risk (relative to the unjabbed exposed to the same infectious contacts) is reduced by 95%. So, if for example in an unvaccinated population wit… (View Post)

Time to get things accurate, first. An awful lot of people are going to get ill and many of them will end up in intensive care (and for much longer periods than is the case for non-Covid patients). T… (View Post)