Blaming the Rothschilds Blaming the 'gnomes of Zurich' Blaming George Soros Blaming short-sellers Blaming Hedge Funds It's the same silly story, almost always from a position of great … (View Post)

Really? I'm pretty sure that's nonsense. Obviously they weren't all doing the same thing, but it was hedge funds most of all who were improving economic stability by betting against th… (View Post)

Summary of eve-of-poll forecast models. I've added a couple of lines at the bottom for those models where I can't get the full ECV probability distribution. 538 Economist YouGov -----------… (View Post)

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323205067726532608 (View Post)

A Nate Silver tweet: @NateSilver538 This is semi-interesting. In Nevada, 1.4% of mail ballots so far required a signature cure, when the voter didn't sign the ballot or the sig didn't match… (View Post)