Russia will be back in Ukraine within 5 years after any 'peace'. Expect Trump's proposal of European peace-keeping force to go if an actual deal is struck. (View Post)

Brexit destroyed the 2015 Cameron coalition, which is why their vote totally collapsed in Tooting, Brighton etc. 2017 onwards. Failing to deliver on the 'promises of Brexit' destroyed the n… (View Post)

Many of Biden's economic policies (e.g. the CHIPS Act) were about trying to tackle the economic root causes of Trumpism. (View Post)

Labour have more 'heartlands' than the Red Wall. London, the big cities, university towns... that's 100+ seats. (View Post)

Labour has lost about 10% of its 2024 vote to Reform, whereas the Tories have lost about 20% to Reform. But it's offset by the fact they have gained some voters back from Labour. Reform also ret… (View Post)