As I said last night, it looks like Labour are going for it, for reasons that are very LD in nature. Electoral Calculus gives Labour a 48% chance of winning the new seat at a GE, barely changed from … (View Post)

NADINE (View Post)

Same question for the Tories was also tweeted: https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1692159452441448652?t=EttpZKJ-u-7xIN1qcEzRVw&s=19 35 Sat 40 Unsat 21 Neutral (View Post)

Leon. If you do go, the whole idea you are off to a Saudi free discussion site and after some your PB musings on Islam is beyond surreal. Even in jest, that is a wonderfully tangled tale; you have ob… (View Post)

OK, I'll bite. Let's take May 24, Oct 24 and Jan 25 as possible election dates. We are in Aug 23, so 9, 14 and 17 months out respectively. The equivalent number of months out in the cycle e… (View Post)