Pro_Rata
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Re: I hope Nadine Dorries is right – politicalbetting.com
As a piece of interpretative art, Lee Anderson's embodiment of the Rwanda bill is almost perfect, shouty, needlessly unpleasant, impractical and ultimately pointless. If Lee Anderson had been committ… (View Post)1 -
Re: LAB reaches new high in general election betting – politicalbetting.com
On topic, a repost of the components of polling swing to Labour, derived from Dylan Difford's voter switching chart. I really ought to do a pie chart at some stage, I suppose. Every single component … (View Post)1 -
Re: YouGov/Telegraph mega poll with forecasts for each seat predicts CON disaster – politicalbetting.com
So, crunched Dylan Difford's vote switcher charts to get some numbers (no graphics) on how the polling swing to Labour is made up. His chart shows Labour 44.1, Con 25.0 predicted vote share, which is… (View Post)2 -
Re: YouGov/Telegraph mega poll with forecasts for each seat predicts CON disaster – politicalbetting.com
Well, that's going to make it better for the Tories! Or bring young turnout to a more typical level. Looking again about 4.9m 2019 non-voters expressing a preference, which sounds high until you see … (View Post)1 -
Re: YouGov/Telegraph mega poll with forecasts for each seat predicts CON disaster – politicalbetting.com
That's really good, what I've wanted to see. I'd expect a lot of votes in the don't know category to end up as will.not vote, as well as some swinging back Tory. Also, 50+% turnout in the Too Young t… (View Post)1