Gone Ind and Green? That, I'm guessing, might still be a younger demographic as much as the 15.5% Muslim vote. (View Post)

Early AVG: Lab +4.3 Con -20.8 Ref +15.5 LD -1.1 Grn +3.1 (View Post)

Dickie Bird's grave sets off the seismometers. (View Post)

UK vote numerical forecast: Lab 39% Con 22% LD 10% Grn 6% Ref 14% NI 3% SNP/PC 4% Ind/Oth 2% Seats: Con 70 Lab 461 LD 66 PC/SNP 22 Grn 3 Ref 3 Ind/Oth 6 NI 18 (View Post)

Blyth & Ashington: Average UKIP vote was around 20% across Blyth Valley and Wansbeck in 2015, on the national UKIP vote of 12.6%. So, assuming that UKIP and Reform map similarly, a 16% Reform vot… (View Post)