Omicron impressions today: - Story didn't develop much today - Inner London may be close to full replacement of Delta meaning, hopefully, case growth will settle down to mere exponential, rather… (View Post)

It's a genius negotiating gambit. You mark my words. (View Post)

That's February. Although I'd accept the tenor of that article, one example is specifically playing out before us as we speak. Increasing raw R0 over delta is a hard strategy - it is very h… (View Post)

I think how this by-election drives things is: what happens to the polls now. There was, separately and additional to the vaccine bounce, an immediate swimg from Lab to Con post the local elections a… (View Post)

Counterfactual: what if NS had been 2 weeks ago and OB&S today? (View Post)