Was the uptick in Republican registration this cycle due to Republicans having the more interesting primary season to participate in? A bit like PB Tory Labour three quidders. (View Post)

But no plaque inside. (View Post)

For 1059 unbroken survey days only SKS Labour were ahead in the polls. This one is a generous leaving present for Rishi - perhaps the only poll lead he will ever record. (View Post)

Q: we remember the political bets when the favourite lost, and often state that if a 12% chance comes good that the markets were wrong. But in general on the major political markets does the 70% chan… (View Post)

Remember what is driving the volume and location of local by-elections. Labour gains direct from the Tories at the GE in fairly affluent areas, and the consequent resignation of newly minted MPs as c… (View Post)