What is the limit of Galloway's potential in the constituency at this time: He won 35% in Bethnal Green & Bow at the 2005 GE at the height of Iraq anger and in a even more favourable constit… (View Post)

OK, next few weeks forecasts on COVID: Current weekly rough figures 22/6: Cases, 70k +35% Hospitals: 1.5k +35% Death: 100 +45% Factors next week: - Base week will have been slightly cooler - Increasi… (View Post)

Never mind 100 balls and all that gubbins, I have an itch to see fixed over, standardised test matches. I appreciate I am likely alone in this. In the UK this would look like 7.5 hours playing days (… (View Post)

Implied betting chances of England's next opponents: Germany 61% (German win France don't draw, Germany draw France don't lose) France 31% (France do either of above, Hungary win Franc… (View Post)

On Batley again: I had it too close to call on various assumptions a few days ago. That Opinium poll with a 6 point lead felt credible though. Looking at my assumptions vs that poll: I had Galloway t… (View Post)