Again, not so quick. Some time after the peak days for new cases and for deaths, hospital admissions and ICU admissions in Italy still outstripped discharges. It was only mid/late last week when Ital… (View Post)

The chancellor's 300bn is a facility at this stage, not all committed spending. The day we prove asymptomatic prevalence is the day we can either commit to the hit (the UK is lucky not to be sit… (View Post)

The scientifically accepted wisdom was that for outdoor events, air spread is limited to those in your immediate vicinity at rest, not necessarily those you pass by briefly near the stadium, though y… (View Post)

I can't find where I originally read this - it was in one of the US explainers , and I recall it as cross-immunity between mild forms OC43 and 229E. However, the paper I've found today foun… (View Post)

My back of envelope R0 measure (new cases announced 31/3- 2/4 ÷ those announced 24-26/3) now at 2.31, down from 2.58 yesterday, and 3.25 at the beginning of this week. On reporting date we're in… (View Post)