Sunak more confident now he has a bit of his own policy to justify. This is a high scoring very competitive PMQs. (View Post)

and says No (View Post)

The counterfactual, could Con have won had Sunak been elected leader in September? No Trusster-disaster, but it would have left Sunak the bearer of any fiscal bad news that would have happened anyway… (View Post)

I think, barring new black swans (in the 2020s!), the polls will stabilise more than seen thus far in this parliament. The Tories may tighten a little to high teens behind. Any polling move back is e… (View Post)

Look, I'd like us to still be in the EU as much as the next man, but spending 5 years renegotiating full entry would hole Labour under the water line on day 1. EFTA maybe, but again there are accommo… (View Post)