And 2021 is also the baseline for 2025, perhaps a few short months after a GE. If there's any kind of honeymoon that could easily be a somewhat painful night for the Tories as well. (View Post)

Saw HY ramping Redditch as a Tory success this morning, saying Labour took Redditch in the Blair years and haven't under SKS. It was disingenuous. Redditch is by thirds and Labour needed to win 8/10 … (View Post)

Have a good night, nighthawks, and keep those GE books sweet as the overnighters come in. I may rejoin for a little while if a dot of insomnia hits Watch out for that Hook entering stage left. (View Post)

OK, all the bell weathers for tomorrow. It is known that local elections and by elections are limited predictors of general elections, what I don't know historically is how good local by elections ar… (View Post)

Anyway, if Putin got assassinated, wouldn't Russia merely bring Big Sam in to turn it around? (View Post)