Where do people think the 95% confidence range is for the next election by the way? For me it is around a 7-21% Labour win, and for me the outlier events beyond this range at both extremes involve le… (View Post)

If this restoration planning farce goes on much longer a Single Dodgy Sparkler From The Newsagents Plot will suffice to send the place up. (View Post)

Do not think the blue team are on 19%. They are on 29% with a ten point deduction. (View Post)

A major pivot in Israel's history that I've not seen mentioned this last month was Rabin's assassination. It showed quite how far the Israeli far right would go to prevent peace being … (View Post)

BTW, thinking about a related topic, who is the most senior FO minister in the Commons now, and are they likely to get a much higher profile than their job title would suggest? (View Post)