On topic: a combination of slightly elevated tactical voting (it's never perfect), stay at homes and possible low vote share means the base is very low, sub 1997 numbers, but I'm don't… (View Post)

On Sunak facing a VONC. This is based on the assumption that enough would jump to letters, a non trivial step, and enough would then VONC him to weaken him. Both require a degree of confidence in wha… (View Post)

Depends what way b they think traffic will be going over it. (View Post)

Daily Mailification has got to me lately. For an IT person, I'm someone who has been supremely unfused by a lot of elements of IT as an end user - here's another Windows laptop, here's… (View Post)

Back to 97, the size of the voter strike was very approximately 2-2.5m or around 15-18% of 1992 Tory voters, with Labour switching at up to 1.5m, or around 10% of 1992 Tory voters. Both things happen… (View Post)