On topic, the last time the Conservative rolling average vote share was above 30% was before the Truss budget. Latest all pollster average (last poll of the 12 who have polling in the last month) is … (View Post)

Where do people think the 95% confidence range is for the next election by the way? For me it is around a 7-21% Labour win, and for me the outlier events beyond this range at both extremes involve le… (View Post)

If this restoration planning farce goes on much longer a Single Dodgy Sparkler From The Newsagents Plot will suffice to send the place up. (View Post)

Do not think the blue team are on 19%. They are on 29% with a ten point deduction. (View Post)

A major pivot in Israel's history that I've not seen mentioned this last month was Rabin's assassination. It showed quite how far the Israeli far right would go to prevent peace being made. The lead … (View Post)