I can't find where I originally read this - it was in one of the US explainers , and I recall it as cross-immunity between mild forms OC43 and 229E. However, the paper I've found today foun… (View Post)

My back of envelope R0 measure (new cases announced 31/3- 2/4 ÷ those announced 24-26/3) now at 2.31, down from 2.58 yesterday, and 3.25 at the beginning of this week. On reporting date we're in… (View Post)

Well, Waitrose avocados are Essentially pH7. It is only Sainsbury's avocados that are Basic. (View Post)

By a simplified R0 approximation (a 3 day rolling tally of new cases vs the same period the previous week), Italy's R0 falls to 0.95, below 1 for the first time. Probably reflects the level of s… (View Post)

I think even with Spanish flu, it barely touched anyone over 70 because there was a prior immunity event in the mid C19th (View Post)