R seems to be not that safely below 1 in some parts of the UK now. I'm still, simplistically, tracking new case counts and looking at 7-day averages 4 days apart for a value I can calculate with… (View Post)

Nice hyperbole, but why stop there. Surely, 1000 miles for 1000 years? (View Post)

My condolences to @Cyclefree and her family. I look forward to a day when mental health is treated and talked about on a par with physical health and we can prevent many of these dreadful events. We … (View Post)

Seasonality, even in known seasonal viruses, doesn't seem to be that well understood with several candidates for the way that seasonality actually works, some or all of which may be factors. The… (View Post)

It's more like, with 20% immune and all else being equal, you can keep R bobbing along around 1 with slightly less severe measures / behaviours (and as Selebian says, in Sweden we are talking ma… (View Post)