Yes. You need to take a 7-day average as testing numbers come in as there’s considerable intra-week variation. It’s like needing seasonal adjustment when looking at house-price indices. Co-incidental… (View Post)

I think it might be fair to say that the Leave campaign was deliberately obfuscatory about the real choice that was being made by the country in the 2016 referendum. Fudging the reality of Brexit &am… (View Post)

Personally I was saying in /March/ that we were in this for at least a year, if we were lucky and the first round of vaccines worked. Guess what! We were lucky & the vaccines worked extremely wel… (View Post)

Also, we do have an exit plan: it’s called mass vaccination. Have they not been paying attention to the news? (View Post)

Sheesh. Lockdowns have worked perfectly well. Every time we have a lockdown we squash R < 1 and the virus recedes. The trouble is that this is a very infectious disease & when we take the foot… (View Post)