Bold, Tim. I think today's poll is an outlier but I should think the chances of another outlier before the GE are quite high. (View Post)

If I were betting (I'm not) I might have a dabble on LD seats. The standard projections are based on vote shares but in practice we know the Yellow Peril are good at targeting, so I'm guess… (View Post)

The technical term for that is an Amersham - named after the Metropolitan line station where the rails always rattle but the train never comes. (View Post)

You and I are both still here, Bart, so that's pretty good. :smile: (View Post)

On topic, I see plenty of experienced punters warning about August polls, indeed any poll this far out from a GE. Intuitively I feel the air will be thick with chickens coming home to roost as the fa… (View Post)