Nothing's happening. The polls are becalmed. We've been stuck at about a 20 point lead for months now. Can someone please explain to me why the PM would call an election in May in these cir… (View Post)

Gove is good value at 66s, and you wouldn't need to stake much. The trouble is that it is hard to put a figure on how low Tory seats could go. Betfair has a market on this and it seems there are… (View Post)

Very thin. I've looked at the market regularly and cannot for the life of me understand why Badenoch is favorite. Normally when you spot an underpriced favorite it's a clear flag that there… (View Post)

@AlsoLei Mrs PtP just wandered past and saw your comment on Trudeau. She was able to add the much more useful comment that 'effete' is not only an insulting adjective, it is inappropriate. … (View Post)

There's a whole light industry around assessing the relative merits of all the Presidents of the USA. It is a surprisingly technical exercise and there is a good deal of consensus - for example,… (View Post)