Electoral Calculus gives a high and low possible seats figure for each Party. Currently the LD high is 56, the Tory low is 42. This would make the LDs the official opposition. Nobody is suggesting su… (View Post)

The Warwickshire result was arguably the best of the night for them because they went from nowhere to a decent second on a huge swing. (View Post)

We're kind of marooned in pre-election doldrums. Outside of Sites like this, few are thinking of a GE so polls should be evaluated lightly. I'd be more inclined to think about the general m… (View Post)

It's early days but if the spreads were up I'd be a buyer at 25 and seller at 40. I'd be surprised to see them outside that range. (View Post)

I see I am in the dock, and can only plead guilty as charged. I didn't appreciate she was Minister for Women and Equality Issues, in which case her intervention was of course appropriate, whethe… (View Post)