Spreads look about right. Disappointed. (View Post)

This election will be a good test of swingback theory. There's no substantive reason why the gap should narrow, and absent blackish swans we should finish up with about 20 points between the two… (View Post)

Just located a copy of the entries and it seems the answer is No. Pagan was closest with 6 June. Plenty of takers for 2 May - not bad, but no cigar, folks. (View Post)

Yes, he missed the best option - May - but this is certainly preferable to November by which time an extinction event would have been a real possibility. Of course we have to see how the campaign unf… (View Post)

Infamy? Infamy! Who's got it in for Sunak? Doesn't work. :( (View Post)