PaulM

If you vote for someone who didn't win, you at least made the seat more marginal, which at some level probably is helpful. If in doubt, vote against the incumbent. (View Post)

The gender split on survation is quite striking Men Con 47.3% Lab 28.6% (Con lead by 18.7%) Women Con 38.2% Lab 38.3% (Lab lead by 0.1%) In 2017 Con led Men by 6% (45-39) and women were split at 43% … (View Post)

In fairness to Barnesian, I think you have local factors in both CoLaW and Kensington that it is hard to build any model to take account of. Kensington's baseline is a Con-Lab supermarginal, and any … (View Post)

Betting post Seems a number of the tactical voting sites have changed their guidance and are now suggesting voting Labour in Southport rather than LD. Also read that there are a lot of Labour/Unite v… (View Post)

Have to say I think the Labour posters in the North saying "Come home to Labour" are right on target. (View Post)