PJH
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Re: How Johnson did in 2021 according to YouGov’s “Well/Badly” ratings – politicalbetting.com
I've been pondering this while I've been (supposed to be) working this morning. I think it all comes down to timing, and it means it's more likely than not he will survive, unless he himself decides … (View Post)3 -
Re: What do the Tories do now the LDs have got their mojo back? – politicalbetting.com
It depends on the overall Tory vote share, above 40% and they win (1992), below 35% and they are beaten by a landslide (1997), irrespective of tactical voting. (View Post)1 -
Re: What do the Tories do now the LDs have got their mojo back? – politicalbetting.com
I still think most dissatisfied Tories (but maybe not you) will have safely returned to the fold as usual long before we get to 2024. A change of leader will make sure of that. (As an aside, impressi… (View Post)5 -
Re: The Red Wall seems to have swung most against Boris – politicalbetting.com
It would be unwise for all the major parties to ignore the roughly half of the electorate who are/were in favour of being in the EU. It would have the same effect as UKIP in reverse - once the downsi… (View Post)2 -
Re: More striking evidence of Johnson’s polling decline – politicalbetting.com
Unless it's changed in the last week, I had to enter all my info again for my second negative test 2 days after the previous one, despite an account. Totalling (I think) 16 separate presses of ENTER.… (View Post)1