That's an interesting point, I hadn't thought of that but you're right, if anything Labour underperformed in 97. What I did notice in 79/83 and 05/10 was some over correction or swing … (View Post)

I think that would risk over fitting the model given N=11. (View Post)

I've tried this before and found that consumer confidence has no additional predictive power, it's already largely baked into VI or leader approval. (View Post)

I don't have any A levels but thanks. (View Post)

Scotland needs its own model. (View Post)