All forecasts are wrong but not all forecasts are honest. The "independence" of the OBR is in many ways a fiction (unlike with the US CBO we have no formal separation of powers to give its … (View Post)

Euch, lawyers are the worst. (View Post)

No, the OBR is the only good idea that Osborne ever had. It is a check on the Treasury's tendency towards expedient forecasts and is trusted by financial markets, hence ensuring we pay less to i… (View Post)

Maybe Sunak and some other Tory MPs could take a one way flight themselves. They keep telling us how great Rwanda is, and I'm not sure anyone will miss them. (View Post)

Isn't it quite typical in a byelection for the winning party not to increase their number of votes, even if winning by a large margin, because turnout is so much lower? I think this is a pretty … (View Post)