OnlyLivingBoy
OnlyLivingBoy
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Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
Thanks! Yes I agree there is stuff in there to give a Labour supporter pause. Like you I was probably less convinced about a Labour majority after doing it. I still think it's a >50% chance b… (View Post)2 -
Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
Fairly sure this is sarcasm but took it at face value and gave it a like. (View Post)2 -
Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
Hi Viewcode Thanks! On your point ii yes, if you look at the mean and SD of the coefficient estimate on coefficient c you will see that the both 0 and 1 are confidently outside the 95% CI. Running th… (View Post)4 -
Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
When I ran the regression relative net favourabillity had the best in sample predictive power. I think that is logical. You have four seperate metrics (favourability and unfavourability for each lead… (View Post)2 -
Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
Thank you very much for publishing it. (View Post)1