Yes my Q1 GDP tracker is similar. We'll get the first proper estimate from the BEA on Thursday. But there's some funny stuff going on with imports (tariff front-running, basically), even ad… (View Post)

I remember seeing him speaking off the cuff at a British embassy event in DC - the Chancellor of the time had been called back to London last minute to deal with some Brexit related bullshit and Carn… (View Post)

This result is a magnificent fuck you to Trump. I wasn't sure my admiration for Canada could have been any greater, but here we are. I didn't think Carney got everything right at the BOE bu… (View Post)

Shop bought cakes are almost always disappointing, albeit less so in independent places. If you want good cake you need to bake it yourself. It's an interesting contrast with savoury food, which… (View Post)

I think this is absolutely right. There is an optimism and dynamism that comes with having a younger population - I have three children aged 12-18 and I love their energy and the sense of the world o… (View Post)