OldBasing

I think the August / bank holiday polling volatility works both ways..... probably best to stick with that YouGov Lab 19% lead and call it quits. (View Post)

Small boats is only a political problem as such because it is visible, big time, from the White Cliffs of Dover. No-one was that much bothered when they were coming in the backs of lorries (invisible… (View Post)

It was the lead story on the BBC Six o'clock TV news this evening. (View Post)

There's also the demographic wave: more younger voters moving into traditionally safer seats in England (e.g. south coast seats) because they've moved out of more expensive cities like London; and wh… (View Post)

The current polling is not tracking 1991-92 in similarity. The Tories would also need around a 3-4% lead to maintain a small majority. If you think that is likely, bet accordingly.... (View Post)