From everything I have read / seen, I think the key metric is Labour getting a double digit lead in National Equivalent Voteshare in order to read across to a possible GE majority. 5-9% NEV lead then… (View Post)

Catastrophically low. Can't rule out 1000+ losses on those sort of numbers for Cons. (View Post)

Survation NEW: Local Elections Voting Intention: LAB 33 (+6) CON 23 (-8) LD 18 (+1) GRN 11 (+2) IND/OTH 14 (-2) F/w 24 - 28 April. Changes vs. 2019 Local Elections results Also Westminster VI (Survat… (View Post)

That particular client journalist said on Twitter last night he had seen the Cabinet Office report. I do wonder if the legal issue which some have speculated has surfaced is the unauthorised disclosu… (View Post)

These tips have not been OGH's best ones. (View Post)