OblitusSumMe
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris vacillated on Darroch because he’s weak, not because of
Labour's vote distribution is inefficient at a share of 35-40% of the vote, but optimal for a ~20% share. So Labour winning most seats while in third or fourth in vote share is certainly possible. Se… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The threat to Obamacare, not Trump’s Tweets and tantrums, coul
Neither the US or Iran are looking for war, but both are determined to appear strong and seem willing to choose war over appearing weak. Like with healthcare this looks like an example of Trump oppos… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And now the Tory Brecon bar chart to try to beat off the Brexi
The exchange rate has been relatively stable since the referendum in 2016, so an annual rate of inflation comparing prices in 2019 to 2018 will not measure any of the effect of the weakening in the e… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What it takes to be a good leader
One of the strengths of a society based on strong institutions is that they do not require specific individuals to function effectively, but can survive and thrive even with the loss of key individua… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Harris and Warrnen now dominate the WH2020 Democratic betting
Because prohibition doesn't work. Regulation would help control the strength of the product sold, so that people would know what they were buying, and you could make it hard enough to buy to discoura… (View Post)1