Possibly, but there may be two years of titanic political end economic turbulence, a probable change of PM and then big cabinet shakeup between now and the GE. (View Post)

Timing important but if both were equally well known to the electorate I'd guess Clegg winning 58/42 would be about right. (View Post)

Journalists should run drafts of significant articles past PB before publishing. (View Post)

Nobody is in control of events when a war starts. Although I'll admit to a strong emotional biase my reading of numerous reports and credible analyses is that the Russians have been heavily defeated … (View Post)

That's possible but I think that Ukraine are quite capable of ousting the Russians from all their gains and then the 2014 territories come into play. A palpable Russian military collapse is also conc… (View Post)