Ed is spending a lot of time in water during this campaign. I think that, secretly, he's a floating voter. (View Post)

Erewash on Bet 365 currently: 1/9 Labour, 11/2 Tory. So if you think the Reform vote will move to Tory, good odds there for a Tory win. (View Post)

Somebody posted a really helpful aggregation of all the MRPs thus far a couple of days ago. There were 12 of these, and the Labour seat count ranged from 407 to 516. The Tory seat count ranged from 5… (View Post)

Just catching up, but I'm your man on the spot in Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven. Despite the tweet in the header, and the fact that some of you have had a punt on the Greens, they won't … (View Post)

Honest answer: if the Tories come third to the Lib Dems, I'd be fine with that. If they came third to Reform, I'd be pretty concerned from a "what's the future hold?" point o… (View Post)