For the avoidance of doubt, although I was the only one to predict July 4th in the prediction competition, I did NOT bet on it. (View Post)

OGH modestly refers to his best bet as 20/1 on the LDs in Chesham and Amersham, and not his 50/1 on Barack Obama becoming POTUS. (View Post)

For me, the distinction between "far X" and "hard X" is whether they respect the democratic and legal norms or not. Farage respects the democratic and legal framework, so is not &… (View Post)

Though the fans will be home in time to vote on July 4th. (View Post)

Italy could be a great team, but they keep choosing Italian managers. (View Post)