With the early release of the YouGov polling for this week I have computed my averages. Conservatives have dropped 2% since the start of June - back to February 2023 levels (pre Northern Ireland deal… (View Post)

If the Conservatives are in trouble in Epsom and Ewell then it will be a complete bloodbath. (View Post)

I wonder whether the article that Sunak, Jenrick and Dowden wrote for The Times on 5 June 2019 entitled "The Tories are in deep peril. Only Boris Johnson can save us" will be hanging like a… (View Post)

The new parliamentary constituency boundaries report has to be delivered to the Speaker of the House of Commons by 1 July 2023. So three weeks to go before the final details are known. Parties have b… (View Post)

I have a concern with MRPs in general. For a standard opinion poll, you have to extrapolate from a small sample to the voting population as a whole. This requires an understanding and appropriate adj… (View Post)