A second-order approach is "an outlier is a poll you agree with but don't want to be disappointed by if it's an outlier". (View Post)

I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't … (View Post)

We're discussing this locally too. Bits of Godalming have had a rash of moderately worrying ASB - youths shouting at pensioners, vandalism, swigging booze in the road, that sort of thing, though… (View Post)

Quite. What he says is "We will not suspend vaccination with AstraZeneca as there is no proven link with thrombosis." (View Post)

Boris is very much better known than Keir, and also something of a Marmite character, so you'd expect gross positives to be higher (and gross negatives to be lower). I talk to a lot of voters wh… (View Post)