To be fair you predicted that the 6-point Tory lead was an outlier and I predicted the 5-point Labour one was, and we were both right. Put it there, pardner! (View Post)

She's a tactician, and rarely seems to look more than a week ahead - perhaps she feels she can't afford to. Her next job is to get through the party conference, and belligerence will be hel… (View Post)

That's disgusting, and weird too. Why would it shift a single vote, except in his favour? (View Post)

Just on a technical point - there is some research (can't lay my hands on it) to suggest that people express their views on controversial matters more honestly if they are asked what other peopl… (View Post)

Really good analysis. (View Post)