Note the details of Hull - Labour's vote went up sharply, but in the two seats that the LibDems needed to take control, the Conservative vote swung massively to them. So tactical voting in actio… (View Post)

On the other hand (from Labour LIst): The party said this morning that it has gained 16 Leave-voting general election seats based on aggregate vote share: Carlisle, Copeland, Great Grimsby, Hartlepoo… (View Post)

One factor that pundits tend to overlook is that people move home in an electorally significant way. What are the primary factors that align with voting intention in the national polls? Labour and Li… (View Post)

Some thoughts so far (after 5 hours' sleep...) - * As many predicted, the Tories are getting slaughtered in the South but holding their own in the North compared with 2018 * But on 2018 results,… (View Post)

No, what's happening is that voters are going for the anti-Tory party without much tribalsim, which is actually the definition of tactical voting. In the London borough, it's Labour. In Ric… (View Post)