One factor that pundits tend to overlook is that people move home in an electorally significant way. What are the primary factors that align with voting intention in the national polls? Labour and Li… (View Post)

Some thoughts so far (after 5 hours' sleep...) - * As many predicted, the Tories are getting slaughtered in the South but holding their own in the North compared with 2018 * But on 2018 results,… (View Post)

No, what's happening is that voters are going for the anti-Tory party without much tribalsim, which is actually the definition of tactical voting. In the London borough, it's Labour. In Ric… (View Post)

The prediction in some of the extrapolations that Labour would have a net loss of seats in England are proving wrong, as there's a significant gain. I'm not sure the outstanding results are… (View Post)

Labour making gains from Tories in Worcester. (View Post)