As I argued earlier, this is because it's apples (voter preference) and oranges (how people actually voted). The latter already reflect a chunk of Labour tactical voting. (View Post)

Hard to play the Coalition of Chaos card again IMO. "We already have a coalition of chaos - it's the Tories..." would be an effective response. (View Post)

That's right. Corbynites might well vote Green in safe seats, but can recognise a marginal when they see one, and they're much more anti-Tory ("evil") than anti-Starmer ("uni… (View Post)

Red wall polling has shown a substantial shift to Labour, though I've not seen a recent one. In general it's unusual if a party slumps in one area and rises in another - people within each … (View Post)

The LibDem drop in the poll is actually partly a measure of the tactical vote that already exists. The poll compares PREFERENCE now with ACTUAL votes then, and I'm certain that a chunk of people… (View Post)