NickPalmer
NickPalmer
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Re: The Ukraine invasion could impact on the French election – politicalbetting.com
I've been really impressed by Poland's willingness to take so many refugees without whinging that they ought to be spread across all the EU countries. At the very least, I think they deserv… (View Post)1 -
Re: It’s a 12.5% betting chance that Putin will be out by May 1st – politicalbetting.com
I agree (and agree with both front benches) that an NFZ would make the war no longer localised. That's why we're not doing it. As I said, I don't think either the West or Russia have a… (View Post)1 -
Re: It’s a 12.5% betting chance that Putin will be out by May 1st – politicalbetting.com
I think the talk about nuclear war is being overdone - there is a very nasty but very localised war, with no sign that anyone wants to extend it anywhere else. Because it all feels so close and 24/7 … (View Post)2 -
Re: What to do with a cornered rat. – politicalbetting.com
(1) We guaranteed that if Russia didn't try to obstruct the collapse of the Warsaw Pact and Eastern Europe joining the EU, we wouldn't seek to move NATO up to Russia's borders. At the … (View Post)6 -
Re: What to do with a cornered rat. – politicalbetting.com
I think Putin will retain a good deal of support purely by pursuing a Trumpesque theme of "make Russia great again". Russia has been screwed in multiple ways over the last 20 years, notably… (View Post)7
