I'm with rcs - for work reasons live in a quiet lane in Godalming, a small town which has supermarkets and estate agents as the most prominent businesses. There's nothing wrong with it but … (View Post)

Convincing piece by Fishing - good to see serious statistical work. Thanks! FPT: Quite an interesting (if overlong) piece on why Johnson's clowning works: https://www.theguardian.com/news/2021/m… (View Post)

Quite an interesting (if overlong) piece on why Johnson's clowning works: https://www.theguardian.com/news/2021/mar/18/all-hail-the-clown-king-how-boris-johnson-made-it-by-playing-the-fool I thi… (View Post)

A second-order approach is "an outlier is a poll you agree with but don't want to be disappointed by if it's an outlier". (View Post)

I think Hartlepool will be hard to hold - the CLP is deeply divided and they only have 6 councillors left. But the Tories have a certain self-congratulatory air about the Red Wall which I don't … (View Post)